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Nordhaus Climate Iam Publication Timeline
Working on a paper recently, I wanted to cite the original Nordhaus DICE paper. The list below is me trying to sort out the publication history. If you see errors, let me know! (...more)
Cluster At The County Warning Area Level
Running weather regressions and using clustered standard errors? I have a modest proposal to cluster at the National Weather Service (NWS) County Warning Area (CWA) level. (...more)
Temperature Autocorrelation And Forecasts
Temperature exhibits high temporal autocorrelation. Regressing daily, county average temperature in the continental U.S. on its own first lag yields a coefficient of 0.95, a t-stat of 730 (standard errors clustered at the National Weather Service County Warning Area level) and an R^2 of 0.9. Regressing temperature on its own first 7 lags yields the following coefficients. (...more)
Thoughts On Public Weather Forecasting
What is the economic justification for government production of weather forecasts? The question has gained particular relevance during the first and second Trump administrations, and this is my place to collect and clarify economic reasoning related to the question, focusing on "classic" economic rationales for public policy. (...more)
No better time than 2025 to create your own blog, as they say. I have a few posts lined up on topics of recent or enduring interest including thoughts on public versus private weather forecasting, the practice and philosophy of science, a planned recurring series on facts that surprise me, and a meta post about the creation of blog tools using AI assistance. Stay tuned! (...more)
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