I am an environmental and labor economist at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA) where I am affiliated with CEEP and the Climate School. I am also a Research Affiliate at the Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). Currently, I am a Senior Advisor at the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA). I use theory and data to study how forecasts and other types of information affect actions in settings including adaptation to climate change, risk-taking in research, and time use. These days, I am especially fascinated by how people perceive and use routine weather forecasts — a decades-long information intervention that goes on every hour of the day, all around the world.

Contact information

Jeffrey Shrader
Assistant Professor
Columbia University, SIPA
jgs2103@columbia.edu

On leave 2023–2024 as Senior Advisor
Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs
Executive Office of the President
Office hours: email for an appointment

News and updates

Danny Bressler will be presenting new work, joint with me and Andrew Wilson, at the EEA meeting in New York. We show that humid heat is especially devastating for the health of children and young adults.

New publication! Adjusting to Rain Before It Falls shows that factor adjustment costs combined with projected increases in rainfall volatility will routinely lead to climate change damage. This effect is missing from all prior equilibrium-based analyses of climate impacts. Lots more in the paper: construction sector is especially vulnerable to these effects, current seasonal rainfall forecasts help construction firms but at the expense of workers, construction firms lose 10% of profit from unanticipatable rainfall shocks.

New policy forum paper published in Science. We discuss the research implications of the SEC’s proposed climate risk disclosure rule, which will hopefully be finalized any day now.

I will be presenting new work on the value of weather forecast improvements at the NBER on March 24th. The talk will be streamed on Youtube here.

Two of my graduate students, Anna Papp and Vincent Bagilet, have put together a great set of simulations, example datasets, and code to work through many of the new two-way fixed effects/dynamic diff-in-diff methods. The code and data can be found on Anna’s Github page here. This could be a really helpful resource for students and researchers learning about these methods, so let me know if you find it helpful.

I will be presenting new work on the value of weather forecasts, joint with Derek Lemoine and Laura Bakkensen, at University of Arizona on December 14th.