Jeffrey Shrader

Matthew Gibson and I have submitted these public comments to the DOE on their recent climate impacts report. The report does a terrible job accurately portraying the climate impacts literature. Our comments focus on three particular areas where the report team failed to cite many relevant studies—mortality, non-fatal health impacts, and market impacts as measured by GDP.

Working on a paper recently, I wanted to cite the original Nordhaus DICE paper. The list below is me trying to sort out the publication history. If you see errors, let me know! (...more)

Matthew Gibson, Derek Lemoine, and I have submitted these public comments to the EPA on their proposed repeal of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards for Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units.

Running weather regressions and using clustered standard errors? I have a modest proposal to cluster at the National Weather Service (NWS) County Warning Area (CWA) level. (...more)

The blog post “Thoughts On Public Weather Forecasting” has been updated!

Temperature exhibits high temporal autocorrelation. Regressing daily, county average temperature in the continental U.S. on its own first lag yields a coefficient of 0.95, a t-stat of 730 (standard errors clustered at the National Weather Service County Warning Area level) and an R^2 of 0.9. Regressing temperature on its own first 7 lags yields the following coefficients. (...more)